Golden Globe voters have received their ballots and are beginning to weigh their options for the top achievements in film and television. With 15 film categories—six of which are divided between drama and comedy/musical—the Globes serve as a key indicator for the Oscars. Previously, under the HFPA, the awards faced criticism for prioritizing star power over quality, as seen with the praise lavished on the 2010 Johnny Depp-Angelina Jolie film “The Tourist.” However, with a restructured voting body, the Globes have become more discerning, reflecting a more globally minded approach. Last year's recognition of Alma Pöysti for her role in the Finnish film “Fallen Leaves” marked a significant step in this evolution.
What can we expect this time ?
Comedy/Musical
These categories are proving to be fiercely competitive this year. Netflix's “Emilia Pérez” and Universal's “Wicked” are at the forefront. Cynthia Erivo's poignant portrayal of Elphaba in “Wicked” has garnered significant attention. Additionally, Mikey Madison shines in Neon’s “Anora” as a stripper involved with the son of a Russian oligarch, showcasing a bold and comedic performance that positions her as a leading contender for both the Globes and the Oscars. The race for Best Actor in a Comedy is less crowded. Following his Cannes Best Actor win for Yorgos Lanthimos’ “Kinds of Kindness,” Jesse Plemons could be in line for his first nomination. However, he faces stiff competition from Glen Powell, whose versatile performance in Richard Linklater’s “Hit Man” has been well-received, and Ryan Reynolds, making his motormouth return as one half of the “Deadpool & Wolverine” duo. Beyond these three, the competition remains wide open.
Drama
This year’s drama categories are brimming with star power. The Best Actor category features formidable contenders like Adrien Brody (“The Brutalist”), Ralph Fiennes (“Conclave”), Colman Domingo (“Sing Sing”), and Timothée Chalamet (“A Complete Unknown”). Each actor plays a central role in their respective films, delivering powerful and moving performances. On the actresses' side, Angelina Jolie is experiencing a career renaissance with her portrayal of a troubled diva in “Maria.” However, she will face stiff competition from Tilda Swinton, who delivers a heartbreaking performance as a woman battling a terminal illness in “The Room Next Door,” and Nicole Kidman, who offers a raw and emotional portrayal of an executive involved in an affair with an intern in “Babygirl.” With six nominees in each category, there’s plenty of room for surprises—could Pamela Anderson earn a spot with her role in “The Last Showgirl”?
Supporting Performances
The race for Best Supporting Actor features a robust lineup, including Kieran Culkin in “A Real Pain” and Denzel Washington in “Gladiator II,” both of whom deliver scene-stealing performances. Don't overlook Josh O'Connor from “Challengers,” who has yet to garner significant attention but could make a strong showing. The Supporting Actress category is shaping up to be one of the most star-studded in recent years. Music icons such as Selena Gomez in “Emilia Pérez” and Ariana Grande in “Wicked” are expected to receive nominations, along with Jennifer Lopez for her role in Amazon MGM's “Unstoppable.” Additionally, despite “Joker: Folie à Deux” underperforming, Lady Gaga may still hear her name called during the nominations on December 9. At the Globes, star power continues to hold significant sway.
Below are the final predictions for the Golden Globe nominations, including those in the television categories.
Motion Picture (Drama)
- “The Brutalist” (A24)
- “Conclave” (Focus Features)
- “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
- “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
- “Hard Truths” (Bleecker Street)
- “Sing Sing” (A24)
Alternate: “Blitz”
Motion Picture (Comedy or Musical)
- “Anora” (Neon)
- “Challengers” (Amazon MGM Studios)
- “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
- “A Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures)
- “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- “Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
Alternate: “The Substance”
Actor (Drama)
- Adrien Brody, “The Brutalist” (A24)
- Timothée Chalamet, “A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures)
- Daniel Craig, “Queer” (A24)
- Colman Domingo, “Sing Sing” (A24)
- Ralph Fiennes, “Conclave” (Focus Features)
- John David Washington, “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
Alternate: Sebastian Stan, “The Apprentice”
Actor (Comedy or Musical)
- Jesse Eisenberg, “A Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures)
- Hugh Grant, “Heretic” (A24)
- Jesse Plemons, “Kinds of Kindness” (Searchlight Pictures)
- Glen Powell, “Hit Man” (Netflix)
- Ryan Reynolds, “Deadpool & Wolverine” (Marvel Studios)
- Sebastian Stan, “A Different Man” (A24)
Alternate: Michael Keaton, “Beetlejuice Beetlejuice”
Actress (Drama)
- Marianne Jean-Baptiste, “Hard Truths” (Bleecker Street)
- Angelina Jolie, “Maria” (Netflix)
- Nicole Kidman, “Babygirl” (A24)
- Tilda Swinton, “The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
- Fernanda Torres, “I’m Still Here” (Sony Pictures Classics)
- Kate Winslet, “Lee” (Roadside Attractions)
Alternate: Pamela Anderson, “The Last Showgirl”
Actress (Comedy or Musical)
- Amy Adams, “Nightbitch” (Searchlight Pictures)
- Cynthia Erivo, “Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
- Karla Sofía Gascón, “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
- Mikey Madison, “Anora” (Neon)
- Demi Moore, “The Substance” (Mubi)
- Zendaya, “Challengers” (Amazon MGM Studios)
Alternate: June Squibb, “Thelma”
Supporting Actor
- Jonathan Bailey, “Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
- Kieran Culkin, “A Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures)
- Clarence Maclin, “Sing Sing” (A24)
- Guy Pearce, “The Brutalist” (A24)
- Stanley Tucci, “Conclave”
- Denzel Washington, “Gladiator II”
Alternate: Jeremy Strong, “The Apprentice”
Supporting Actress
- Danielle Deadwyler, “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
- Selena Gomez. “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
- Ariana Grande, “Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
- Saoirse Ronan, “Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
- Isabella Rossellini, “Conclave” (Focus Features)
- Zoe Saldaña, “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Alternate: Jennifer Lopez, “Unstoppable”
Director
- Jacques Audiard, “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
- Sean Baker, “Anora” (Neon)
- Edward Berger, “Conclave” (Focus Features)
- Jon M. Chu, “Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
- Brady Corbet, “The Brutalist” (A24)
- Denis Villeneuve, “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
Alternate: Ridley Scott, “Gladiator II”
Screenplay
- “Anora” (Neon) — Sean Baker
- “The Brutalist” (A24) — Brady Corbet, Mona Fastvold
- “Conclave” (Focus Features) — Peter Straughan
- “A Real Pain” (Searchlight Pictures) — Jesse Eisenberg
- “The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics) — Pedro Almodóvar
- “The Substance” (Mubi) — Coralie Fargeat
Alternate: “Sing Sing”
Original Score
- “The Brutalist” (A24) — Daniel Blumberg
- “Challengers” (Amazon MGM Studios) — Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross
- “Conclave” (Focus Features) — Volker Bertelmann
- “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) — Hans Zimmer
- “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures) — Jon Batiste
- “The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation) — Kris Bowers
Alternate: “The Room Next Door”
Original Song
- “Forbidden Road” from “Better Man” (Paramount Pictures)
- “El Mal” from “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
- “Mi Camino” from “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
- “Folie à Deux” from “Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.)
- “Sick in the Head” from “Kneecap” (Sony Pictures Classics)
- “Beautiful That Way” from “The Last Showgirl” (Roadside Attractions)
Alternate: “Not My Fault” from “Mean Girls”
Animated Feature
- “Flow” (Janus Films/Sideshow)
- “Inside Out 2” (Pixar)
- “Memoir of a Snail” (IFC Films)
- “Piece by Piece” (Focus Features)
- “Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl” (Netflix)
- “The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)
Alternate: “Moana 2”
Non-English Language Film
- “All We Imagine as Light” from India
- “Emilia Pérez” from France
- “The Girl with the Needle” from Denmark
- “Kneecap” from Ireland
- “I’m Still Here” from Brazil
- “The Seed of the Sacred Fig” from Germany
Alternate: “Vermiglio”
Cinematic Box Office Achievement
- “Beetlejuice Beetlejuice” (Warner Bros.)
- “Deadpool and Wolverine” (Marvel Studios)
- “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
- “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
- “Inside Out 2” (Pixar)
- “Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes” (20th Century Studios)
- “Twisters” (Universal Pictures)
- “Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
Alternate: “A Quiet Place: Day One”
TV Series (Drama)
- “Fallout” (Prime Video)
- “House of the Dragon” (HBO/Max)
- “Mr. and Mrs. Smith” (Prime Video)
- “Presumed Innocent” (Apple TV+)
- “Shōgun” (FX)
- “Squid Game” (Netflix)
Alternate: “The Diplomat”
TV Series (Comedy or Musical)
- “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
- “Agatha All Along” (Disney+)
- “Hacks” (HBO/Max)
- “A Man on the Inside” (Netflix)
- “Nobody Wants This” (Netflix)
- “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
Alternate: “The Bear”
TV Series (Limited or TV Movie)
- “Baby Reindeer” (Netflix)
- “Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
- “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix)
- “The Penguin” (HBO/Max)
- “Ripley” (Netflix)
- “True Detective: Night Country” (HBO/Max)
Alternate: “American Sports Story: Aaron Hernandez”
TV Actor (Drama)
- Jake Gyllenhaal, “Presumed Innocent” (Apple TV+)
- Lee Jung-jae, “Squid Game” (Netflix)
- Gary Oldman, “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
- Eddie Redmayne, “The Day of the Jackal”
- Hiroyuki Sanada, “Shōgun” (FX)
- Billy Bob Thornton, “Landman” (Paramount+)
Alternate: Rufus Sewell, “The Diplomat”
TV Actor (Comedy or Musical)
- Brian Jordan Alvarez, “English Teacher” (Hulu)
- Steve Martin, “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
- Ray Romano, “No Good Deed” (Netflix)
- Martin Short, “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
- Vince Vaughn, “Bad Monkey” (Apple TV+)
- Jeremy Allen White, “The Bear” (FX)
Alternate: Theo James, “The Gentleman”
TV Actor (Limited Series or Movie)
- Nicholas Alexander Chavez, “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix)
- Colin Farrell, “The Penguin” (HBO/Max)
- Richard Gadd, “Baby Reindeer” (Netflix)
- Cooper Koch, “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix)
- Josh Andres Rivera, “American Sports Story: Aaron Hernandez” (FX)
- Andrew Scott, “Ripley” (Netflix)
Alternate: Tom Hollander, “Feud: Capote vs. The Swans”
TV Actress (Drama)
- Marisa Abela, “Industry” (HBO/Max)
- Kathy Bates, “Matlock” (CBS)
- Nicola Coughlan, “Bridgerton” (Netflix)
- Myha’la Herrold, “Industry” (HBO/Max)
- Keri Russell, “The Diplomat” (Netflix)
- Anna Sawai, “Shōgun” (FX)
Alternate: Maya Erskine, “Mr. and Mrs. Smith”
TV Actress (Comedy)
- Kristen Bell, “Nobody Wants This” (Netflix)
- Quinta Brunson, “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
- Ayo Edebiri, “The Bear” ‘(FX)
- Kathryn Hahn, “Agatha All Along” (Disney+)
- Jean Smart, “Hacks” (HBO/Max)
- Kristen Wiig, “Palm Royale” (Apple TV+)
Alternate: Selena Gomez, “Only Murders in the Building”
TV Actress (Limited Series or Movie)
- Cate Blanchett, “Disclaimer” (Apple TV+)
- Jodie Foster, “True Detective: Night Country” (HBO/Max)
- Cristin Milioti, “The Penguin” (HBO/Max)
- Lola Petticrew, “Say Nothing” (FX)
- Natalie Portman, “Lady in the Lake” (Apple TV+)
- Sofía Vergara, “Griselda” (Netflix)
Alternate: Julianne Moore, “Mary and George”
Supporting Actor (Television)
- Javier Bardem, “Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story” (Netflix)
- Robert Downey Jr., “The Sympathizer” (HBO/Max)
- Harrison Ford, “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
- Jack Lowden, “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)
- Peter Sarsgaard, “Presumed Innocent” (Apple TV+)
- Tyler James Williams, “Abbott Elementary” (ABC)
Alternate: Ebon Moss-Bachrach, “The Bear”
Supporting Actress (Television)
- Carol Burnett, “Palm Royale” (Apple TV+)
- Liza Colón-Zayas, “The Bear” (FX)
- Jessica Gunning, “Baby Reindeer” (Netflix)
- Patti LuPone, “Agatha All Along” (Disney+)
- Nava Mau, “Baby Reindeer” (Netflix)
- Meryl Streep, “Only Murders in the Building” (Hulu)
Alternate: Hannah Einbinder, “Hacks”
Stand Up Comedy Performance
- Ellen Degeneres, “For Your Approval” (Netflix)
- Alex Edelman, “Just For Us” (HBO/Max)
- Nikki Glaser, “Someday You’ll Die” (HBO/Max)
- Adam Sandler, “Love You” (Netflix)
- Ramy Youssef, “More Feelings” (HBO/Max)
Ali Wong, “Single Lady” (Netflix)
